top of page
Nov 18, 2024
Posts (4)
Apr 23, 2026 ∙ 5 min
Motion, Not State: The “F-16” Problem in Mortgage
The F-16 was designed to be aerodynamically unstable. Without fly-by-wire systems making continuous corrections, the aircraft literally could not fly. This instability was not a flaw but a deliberate design choice. An unstable airframe, properly controlled, is extraordinarily agile, always on the edge of chaos, continuously caught by a system that manages motion, not state. The instability is the feature, and it shows. Over half a century since entering service, the F-16 remains one of the...
19
0
Mar 17, 2026 ∙ 5 min
VOIE… The Gap Between the File and the Truth
My previous piece argued that credit underwriting in mortgage is restructuring around cashflow-native frameworks that treat repayment capacity as a distribution rather than a score. The GSEs have moved, and the capital markets are following. The logic is compelling and the direction is clear. A model is only as good as its inputs: input the wrong income or verify a job that is gone, and the shape of risk changes. The system that promised certainty now hides uncertainty. We cannot call...
166
0
1
Jun 25, 2025 ∙ 4 min
Rethinking Mortgage Operations: How AI Can Actually Lower Origination Costs
Mortgage lenders, ready for further adventures in the valley (of death), are at a crossroads. Despite massive tech spends, they continue...
15
0
bottom of page
